Competitive Signals

Fuel and energy industry intelligence
49
Total Signals
1
Risk
6
Opportunity
42
Watch
Operational
24
avg composite: 2.0
Market
9
avg composite: 4.8
Competitive
7
avg composite: 3.8
Strategic
5
avg composite: 3.5
Regulatory
4
avg composite: 2.8
All Risk Opportunity Watch
4
Watch Strategic Unmatched (?) news
The EV ‘Takeover’: NPA Collaborating with Energy Commission for Smooth & Seamless Transition - CediRates
The collaboration between NPA and the Energy Commission for a smooth transition to electric vehicles could significantly impact fuel demand and market dynamics, necessitating close monitoring by Phillips 66.
P:3 I:3 3.6 long-term retail integrated
2026-02-20 18:16:50
3
Watch Regulatory Valero Energy (VLO) news
Will California Scrutiny of Benicia Outages and Fuel Rules Change Valero Energy's (VLO) Narrative? - simplywall.st
The scrutiny of Valero Energy's operations in California could indicate potential regulatory changes that may impact the company's performance and operational strategies.
P:4 I:4 6.4 medium-term refining integrated
2026-02-23 12:17:46
3
Watch Market Marathon Petroleum (MPC) news
Marathon Petroleum Returned $4.5 Billion to Shareholders in 2025. Here's Why It Could Happen Again. - The Globe and Mail
Marathon Petroleum's significant shareholder returns indicate strong financial health, which could lead to increased competition for market share in the retail fuel sector.
P:4 I:3 4.8 medium-term refining integrated
2026-02-21 19:08:50
3
Watch Strategic Unmatched (?) news
Ghana’s Fuel Stations on Course to Double as EV Charging Hubs - News Ghana
The transition of fuel stations in Ghana to EV charging hubs indicates a notable shift in consumer preferences and infrastructure that could influence future fuel demand and competitive dynamics in emerging markets.
P:4 I:4 6.4 medium-term retail integrated
2026-02-20 22:19:11
3
Watch Market Sunoco LP (SUN) news
Sunoco LP stock reaches 52-week high at 62.44 USD - Investing.com
Sunoco LP reaching a 52-week high indicates strong market performance, which could impact competitive dynamics in the retail fuel sector that Phillips 66 operates in.
P:3 I:3 3.6 medium-term retail
2026-02-20 19:17:08

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Understanding Signal Scores

Every event ingested from SEC filings, news, government data, and market feeds is scored by an AI analyst across multiple dimensions. Here's what each element means.

Relevance Score (1–5)

The large number on the left of each signal card. Measures how relevant the event is to the fuel and energy industry.

5 Major industry event (large M&A, regulatory change, margin shift)
4 Significant multi-company development
3 Notable single-company development
2 Minor news with indirect relevance
1 Background noise

Signal Labels

Risk Threatening: margin compression, regulation, competition, demand destruction
Opportunity Favorable: margin expansion, supply tightening, competitor weakness
Watch Neutral or mixed: management changes, pending policy, seasonal shifts

Probability & Impact

Each signal is also scored on a 1–5 scale for likelihood (P) and severity (I). These combine into a composite score: P × I ÷ 2.5.

7.0+ Critical 4.0–6.9 Notable <4.0 Low

Time Horizon

near-term Impact expected within 3 months
medium-term Impact expected in 3–12 months
long-term Impact expected beyond 12 months

Categories

Regulatory EPA, OSHA, fuel standards, carbon policy, FERC
Competitive M&A, market share, earnings, capacity changes
Market Crack spreads, pricing, demand shifts, inventory
Operational Outages, turnarounds, pipeline disruptions, safety
Strategic EV transition, energy diversification, long-term positioning

Affected Segments

refining retail midstream integrated

Shows which parts of the fuel value chain a signal affects. Filter by segment to focus on your area.