49
Total Signals
1
Risk
6
Opportunity
42
Watch
Operational
24
avg composite: 2.0
Market
9
avg composite: 4.8
Competitive
7
avg composite: 3.8
Strategic
5
avg composite: 3.5
Regulatory
4
avg composite: 2.8
All Risk Opportunity Watch
3
Risk Competitive CVR Energy (CVI) news
CVR Energy's earnings miss indicates potential weaknesses in operational performance, which could signal increased competition and margin pressures in the fuel retail and refining sector.
P:4 I:3 4.8 medium-term refining integrated
2026-02-18 22:42:00

Understanding Signal Scores

Every event ingested from SEC filings, news, government data, and market feeds is scored by an AI analyst across multiple dimensions. Here's what each element means.

Relevance Score (1–5)

The large number on the left of each signal card. Measures how relevant the event is to the fuel and energy industry.

5 Major industry event (large M&A, regulatory change, margin shift)
4 Significant multi-company development
3 Notable single-company development
2 Minor news with indirect relevance
1 Background noise

Signal Labels

Risk Threatening: margin compression, regulation, competition, demand destruction
Opportunity Favorable: margin expansion, supply tightening, competitor weakness
Watch Neutral or mixed: management changes, pending policy, seasonal shifts

Probability & Impact

Each signal is also scored on a 1–5 scale for likelihood (P) and severity (I). These combine into a composite score: P × I ÷ 2.5.

7.0+ Critical 4.0–6.9 Notable <4.0 Low

Time Horizon

near-term Impact expected within 3 months
medium-term Impact expected in 3–12 months
long-term Impact expected beyond 12 months

Categories

Regulatory EPA, OSHA, fuel standards, carbon policy, FERC
Competitive M&A, market share, earnings, capacity changes
Market Crack spreads, pricing, demand shifts, inventory
Operational Outages, turnarounds, pipeline disruptions, safety
Strategic EV transition, energy diversification, long-term positioning

Affected Segments

refining retail midstream integrated

Shows which parts of the fuel value chain a signal affects. Filter by segment to focus on your area.